“Where are we checking tonight?”

Type your town and I’ll read the sky.

What is a snow day calculator?

A snow day calculator (also called a snow day predictor, a school closing calculator or, for short, a snow day calc) estimates the chance that school will close for snow or ice on the next school morning. This one works for towns in the US and Canada: it reads the hourly weather forecast for the place you search, from 6 pm the evening before to 8 am, and adds points for snowfall, freezing rain, bitter cold and wind. It’s a forecast-based estimate. Your school district or school board makes the real call.

Last updated: October 25, 2026

Method

How the snow day estimate works

We score the forecast with a few published rules. Here they are, in order.

  1. Finds the next school morning

    Using the searched place’s local time: before 6 am on a weekday, that’s today. Otherwise it’s the next weekday, so Fridays and weekends look ahead to Monday.

  2. Reads the overnight forecast

    The hourly forecast from 6 pm the evening before until 8 am, covering the night and the morning commute.

  3. Scores the weather

    A starting point of 2, plus points for each of the four factors below that appear in the forecast. Canadian places see the amounts in °C, centimeters and km/h; the points are the same.

  4. Applies your optional answers

    The “Sharpen your prediction” answers multiply the weather points up or down. The starting point is never scaled, so a dry night stays low.

  5. Reports a percentage

    The total points become the percentage, rounded and kept between 1% and 99%. 60% or higher reads Likely, 30–59% Maybe, and under 30% No Chance.

Weather factors and points

Snow

Total snowfall overnight

Snow points
0.5 in+10
1 in+20
2 in+35
4 in+55
6 in or more+70

Amounts in between get points in between (for example, 1.5 in is about +28). Snow points are halved if it’s above 34°F at 7 am, because wet snow melts on roads.

Ice

Hours of freezing rain or drizzle

Ice points
1–2 hours+30
3–5 hours+50
6 hours or more+65

Only the highest step reached counts.

Cold

Temperature at 7 am

Cold points
0°F or colder+10
−15°F or colder+20

Reflects students waiting at bus stops in bitter cold.

Wind

Strongest gust overnight

Wind points
30 mph or more+10
45 mph or more+15

Counts only with at least 1 inch of snow or some freezing rain.

Limits of this estimate

These point values are first estimates, not yet measured against real closings (see How accurate is this snow day calculator?). For your own result’s breakdown, open More weather details → Why this number?

Tomorrow

What are the chances of a snow day tomorrow?

Enter your city or ZIP code at the top of this page and the calculator estimates your chance of a snow day tomorrow from tonight’s forecast for the next school morning (Monday from a Friday or the weekend). Overnight snow and how cold the morning is matter most.

  • Likely (60% or higher): enough snow or ice that many districts would consider closing, such as a little over 4 inches (10 cm) of overnight snow or a long night of freezing rain.
  • Maybe (30–59%): borderline weather, such as about 2 inches (5 cm) of snow. Here your district’s habits matter most, and the “Sharpen your prediction” questions let you nudge the number.
  • No Chance (under 30%): little or no snow or ice before the morning commute.

Forecasts change, so check the evening before and again early in the morning if a storm is close. The next 5 school days under the result give an early look ahead; days 3 to 5 are the least certain.

Only your school district (in Canada, your school board) decides, weighing things a forecast can’t show, such as road crews, bus routes and snow days already used.

Honesty

How accurate is this snow day calculator?

Its accuracy hasn’t been measured yet, so this site gives no accuracy percentage. To measure it, we’d need a winter of saved predictions next to what schools really did, in many places. We don’t have that yet. What limits it today:

  • The forecast. Snow totals and the line between rain and snow often shift in the last day before a storm.
  • The point values. They are first estimates set by judgment, not fitted to closing records. All are published in How the snow day estimate works.
  • Local decisions. The same storm can close schools in one town and not the next. The calculator doesn’t know your district’s or school board’s policy.
  • The calendar. It doesn’t know holidays, teacher workdays or remote-learning plans.

We won’t post an accuracy number until we can show our predictions next to what happened.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

About the prediction

How accurate is the snow day calculator?

Its accuracy hasn’t been measured yet: the formula hasn’t been checked against real school closing records, so treat the percentage as an estimate, not a reliable prediction.

What data does it use?

The hourly Open-Meteo forecast for the place you search, from 6 pm to 8 am: snowfall, temperature, wind gusts and freezing rain or drizzle. It doesn’t use radar, road reports or school announcements.

Is this an official school closing source?

No. This site isn’t affiliated with any school, district or weather service. Always check your district’s own announcements.

Is this a school closing calculator?

Yes. It’s another name for a snow day calculator or predictor. It estimates the chance of a full closure from the overnight forecast; it doesn’t know official closings.

What does the percentage mean?

It’s a score built from the forecast and the published rules in How it works, not a measured probability: 70% doesn’t mean schools closed on 7 of 10 similar mornings. 60% or higher reads Likely, 30–59% Maybe, and under 30% No Chance.

Why is it never 0% or 100%?

Forecasts change overnight, and districts weigh things a forecast can’t show, such as road crews, bus routes and staffing. The result is always kept between 1% and 99% to reflect that uncertainty.

Why does it show a different day than I expected?

It checks the next school morning in the searched place’s time zone: today before 6 am on a weekday, otherwise the next weekday. It doesn’t know holidays, breaks or teacher work days.

How much snow does it take to cancel school?

There’s no national rule; each district decides. Places that rarely see snow may close for an inch or two, while snowy regions often stay open through several inches, and timing, ice and road clearing matter too. In this calculator, about 2 inches (5 cm) of overnight snow on its own reads Maybe and a little over 4 inches (10 cm) reads Likely, with snow points halved if it’s above 34°F (1°C) at 7 am.

Can you have a snow day without snow?

Yes. Freezing rain can coat roads with ice, and bitter cold can make bus stops unsafe, so districts sometimes close for either. The calculator adds 30 to 65 points for freezing rain or drizzle, depending on how many hours it lasts, and 10 points at 0°F (−18°C) or colder at 7 am (20 at −15°F, or −26°C, or colder). A long night of freezing rain alone can reach Likely; cold alone stays in No Chance.

Snow day vs 2-hour delay vs early dismissal: what’s the difference?

A snow day closes school for the whole day. A delay (often 2 hours) starts school later so crews can clear roads, and an early dismissal sends students home when weather worsens during the day. The calculator only estimates a full closure on the next school morning.

Are e-learning days replacing snow days?

Some districts and school boards now hold online classes instead of closing. The calculator estimates whether weather may close school buildings, not whether classes move online.

Using the calculator

Will there be a snow day tomorrow?

Only your school district or school board can say for sure. For a forecast-based estimate of the chance, enter your city or ZIP code in the calculator at the top of this page; on a Friday or a weekend it checks Monday.

What time are snow days usually announced?

It varies. Many districts and school boards announce the evening before when a storm is certain, or early in the morning, often between 5 and 6:30 am. Check their website or local news.

When is the next snow day?

No one knows until a district announces it. This calculator (sometimes called a no school calculator) estimates the next school morning and lists the next 5 school days under the result; days 3 to 5 are an early outlook that often changes.

Does it work for my school district?

It uses the weather for the town you search, not your district’s closing policy. The optional “Sharpen your prediction” questions let you describe how easily it closes, your roads and your school type.

Which places can I search?

Type a city name or a 5-digit US ZIP code; US and Canadian places are checked first, and short forms like St, Ft and DC work. If the wrong town comes up, add a state, province or country after a comma, like “Portland, OR”, “London, ON” or “Paris, France”. Canadian postal codes aren’t supported yet, so type the town. Before using a place outside the US and Canada, the calculator asks first. US places show °F, inches and mph; Canadian places show °C, centimeters and km/h.

Do schools in Canada have snow days?

Yes. Canadian school boards close schools or cancel buses for heavy snow, freezing rain or extreme cold. This calculator works for Canadian towns, in °C and centimeters.

Does it predict school bus cancellations?

No. It estimates the chance of a school closure from the forecast. In much of Canada buses can be cancelled while schools stay open, so check your school board or bus service.

When is the best time to check?

The evening before, and again early in the morning, since overnight forecasts often change. Before 6 am on a weekday it shows that same morning.

What do the optional questions do?

Each answer multiplies the weather points (not the starting point): a district that closes rarely ×0.7 or easily ×1.75; city roads ×0.9, rural or hilly ×1.2; private school ×0.95, college ×0.6. Skipping a question, or choosing Average, Suburbs or Public, changes nothing.

What does “Is my school closed?” do?

It opens a Google search for school closings in the place you found, in a new tab. The calculator doesn’t check closings itself and can’t confirm whether your school is closed.

Privacy and data

Is my search saved?

No. There are no accounts, cookies or saved history, and nothing is kept in your browser’s storage. Your search and answers are forgotten when you close or reload the page.

What is shared with other services?

To get the forecast, your browser sends the city name or ZIP code you type (the part before any comma) to Open-Meteo’s place search, then the found place’s map coordinates to Open-Meteo’s forecast. Fonts load from this site. Google sees the place name only if you tap “Is my school closed?”. Page visits are counted by Cloudflare Web Analytics, without cookies, without tracking you across sites and without collecting personal details. Like any website, these services can see your IP address. The share card is made on your own device. Full details are in the Privacy Policy.